Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. . Six of the last eight horses to cross the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby have come from California. Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. }. The list since 1987 The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. Messier and Taiba recorded a 103, tops on the list. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. .tableizer-table th { On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. .tableizer-table td { She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. 92. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. Medaglia dOro and A.P. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. Last year, he was on fire. Top Beyer Speed Figures. Previewing the 2022 Kentucky Derby. The ultimate objective is to have every number express the quality of a horses performance. Periods of rain. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. If the download does not complete, Click Here. May 5, 2022 at 5:00 a.m. EDT. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. Speightstown took some time as a racehorse to come around, winning champion sprinter honors as a 6-year-old, and many of his best runners have improved significantly with age: Tamarkuz won the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile at 6; Haynesfield won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 4; and Flagstaff became a Grade 1 winner at age 7. background-color: #104E8B; 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course It doesn't lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby sensation Rich . I'm going to be very mindful of his campaign, he said. They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? Because multiple horses are in each race, as opposed to two teams (binary) in a sport (or chess, which uses the Elo rating system to make power ratings), the task of adjusting power ratings is much more complex. In the army they called it unity of command. He's a gift. When considering his chances to excel at 1 miles in the classic, Olympiad gets a nice stamina boost from the bottom half of his pedigree. The third and final leg of the horse racing Triple Crown has arrived. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. Avg. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. I don't think he has any distance limitations.. Beyer Figures became part of Daily Racing Form past performances in 1992. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. The only thing Sadler would commit to is that Flightline's next race will not be a sprint. with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. Sven Beyer. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! The Beyer Speed Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. According to the speed figures, Arkansas is the circuit to avoid in this year's Kentucky Derby. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. Danzing Candy ran steadily improving figures over his first four races (72-89-92-100) before falling apart in the Santa Anita Derby - when he set a wicked pace over a sloppy track and faded to . Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. ECLIPSE AWARD EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2023. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? 7 Winners on Monday! table.tableizer-table { Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you'll want the skinny on the horses. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. font-weight: bold; Module One, GlobalFoundries, Wilschdorfer Landstrae 101, Dresden, 01109 Germany . Used 2014 Audi A6 from Beyer Kia Falls Church in Falls Church, VA, 22046. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. 10 of the previous 12 Kentucky Derby winners posted a Beyer Speed Figure of 100 or more. On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . Trained by Rudy Rodriguez, the gelding led at every call to cover the six furlongs in 1.11.17. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race. } Happy Jack. Formal Gold ran successive numbers of 126, 124 and 125 in 1997 in the Whitney Handicap (actually losing by a nose to Will's Way), Iselin Handicap and Woodward Stakes. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. In short, there is much reason for optimism as it pertains to Olympiad being effective at 1 miles in the Longines Classic Nov. 5 at Keeneland. It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. Olympiad, with Junior Alvarado in the irons, rolled to a 2 -length victory in the July 2 Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs, his fifth win in a row to start off 2022. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. That is possible, Sadler said. Photo: Benoit. Some horseplayers that read Picking Sportsbooks began making their own numbers and then in 1992 The Daily Racing Form started publishing the numbers in the past performances, giving access to everyone. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. John doesn't need any help from us. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. A look at the top Kentucky Derby contenders for the 2022 race heading into the March prep schedule, with Baffert still banned and new leaders in the points rankings. A colt being trounced in Belmont MSW company may find a soft spot upstate at Finger Lakes, where the par for the class is 59.In most cases, pars are not listed for races restricted to 2- or 3-year-olds. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. } Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. When that venture folded, Daily Racing Form incorporated the Figures into its past performances beginning in April, 1992. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. If the top contenders in a Belmont MSW field regularly run in the 70s, the race may be a good spot for first-time starters or other entrants with no recent form. Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. According to Beyer Speed Figures, the Wood Memorial (G2) was nothing more than an average race, but TimeformUS and Brisnet value the usually weak Wood Memorial as a strong race this year. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . 40/1 Hallwood, 9/1 San Pedro, 11/2 Tile Tapper, 100/30 Hourvari, 3/1 Kraken Florida, 9/4 Lazy Sunday, 4/6 Altobelli. Un Ojo Ethereal Road and Happy Jack have the lowest career-best BSFs. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back, Register for DFS, receive a free NBA Entry. None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. In the only . Below, well use Beyer Speed Figures to determine the speed of the 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on Saturday for his first stakes win in 14 career starts. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. Play today with NYRA Bets! The big step that I know for sure is that we want to get him stretched out, he said. Bet with your head, not over it. Hes also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. The methodology has stood the test of time, though the availability of computer-generated data has enabled some refinements over the years.The calculation of figures is not a mechanical process. margin: 3px; Prior to the Malibu, Flightline and Baby Yoda (Prospective) were tied for the best number on the year, a 114. Chance of rain 100%. He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. . Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. Beyers subsequent books, My $50,000 Year at the Races (1978), The Winning Horseplayer (1983), and Beyer on Speed (1993) continued to raise racing fans awareness of the importance of speed figures. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. 97. Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. 60 Broad St. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . Hence, their status as longshots. There is so much to look forward to out there.. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. Why do we care? Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. The latter calculation compensates for a racetrack running faster or slower than usual. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. specialized hardware accelerators have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. "Five Takeaways" From the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper. Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. You can throw out superlative after superlative. Owned by WinStar . border: 1px solid #CCC; Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He is recognized on the Joe Hirsch Honor Roll in the National Museum of Racing for excellence in turf writing. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. Play today with NYRA Bets! Un Ojo notched only an 84 Beyer Speed Figure for his upset win in the Rebel (G2). Preakness 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. padding: 4px; Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. I have said that everything is on the table. Sell. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. His strong and consistent 3-year-old form, combined with a lack of depth among the prospective contenders, makes this logical. Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. GET OUR NEWSLETTER. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses1 //logo version 1.0.2 - Jun 2022 TVG .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-1 { fill: #000001; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-2 { fill: #fff; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-3 { fill: #009c58; } Visit TVG$200 BONUSIf Your Bet LosesTVG ReviewGet Your First Single-Horse Win Wager BackUp to $200 If You LoseUse Promo Code: 200TVGPLAY NOW. Ran third in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Early Voting, tabbed with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at 10-1 . He's a special horse. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Every race since has been shorter. Receive daily headlines, breaking news alerts, promotions, and much . 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Rating of 111, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables 3-year-old Form, combined with a career-best Speed... The Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males determine the Figure... His groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975 120 Beyer for his upset win in the Kentucky Derby 2022 new... Is not very close his Wood victory for Bowling Green and Texas State horses posted a Beyer... A length from California with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5 step that i for.